PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Tech)

81.6%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Tech)

85.2%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Politics

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Tech

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Elections

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Ukraine

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Global Elections

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Portugal Election

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Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 86%
No 14%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

74%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

73%

Polymarket result

Yes 62%
No 38%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 21%
No 79%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 42%
No 58%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

17%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

37%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 38%
No 62%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 82%
No 18%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 79%
No 21%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

70%

Polymarket result

Yes 55%
No 46%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?

73%

Polymarket result

Yes 97%
No 3%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

54%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Databricks IPO before 2027?

75%

Polymarket result

Yes 50%
No 50%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 84%
No 16%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

xAI IPO before 2027?

70%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Glean IPO before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 52%
No 48%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Deel IPO before 2027?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 50%
No 50%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Remote IPO before 2027?

41%

Polymarket result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%