MACRO INSIGHTS
Macro-level prediction score analytics
Compare Polymarket pricing against Pollitics synthetic polling to surface where consensus diverges, converges, and accelerates.
Markets scored
1,121 / 4,759
Average accuracy
86.7%
Average yes/no accuracy
90.2%
Pollitics prediction scores by category
Latest synthetic polling strength across core market categories, normalized for volatility and recency.
Politics
High confidence91.7%
Based on 211 scored markets with Pollitics polls.
Elections
High confidence92.8%
Based on 223 scored markets with Pollitics polls.
Geopolitics
High confidence87.0%
Based on 225 scored markets with Pollitics polls.
Finance
High confidence84.4%
Based on 249 scored markets with Pollitics polls.
Tech
High confidence81.7%
Based on 237 scored markets with Pollitics polls.
Pollitics yes/no prediction accuracy
Share of markets where Pollitics matches Polymarket on the winning yes/no outcome, summarized by category.
Politics
High confidence93.8%
Based on 211 markets with comparable yes/no outcomes.
Elections
High confidence94.6%
Based on 223 markets with comparable yes/no outcomes.
Geopolitics
High confidence89.8%
Based on 225 markets with comparable yes/no outcomes.
Finance
High confidence87.1%
Based on 249 markets with comparable yes/no outcomes.
Tech
High confidence85.2%
Based on 237 markets with comparable yes/no outcomes.