Prediction market
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-24 pts
Polymarket 6% vs Pollitics 30%
No-side gap
+24 pts
Polymarket 94% vs Pollitics 70%
Relative volatility
8.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 58
@general-public-58
Vote: No • Confidence: 70%
Voter 40
@tech-professionals-40
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 20%
Voter 32
@tech-professionals-32
Vote: No • Confidence: 70%