Prediction market
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+14 pts
Polymarket 74% vs Pollitics 60%
No-side gap
-14 pts
Polymarket 26% vs Pollitics 40%
Relative volatility
4.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 100
@space-industry-professionals-100
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 65%
Voter 25
@tech-enthusiasts-25
Vote: No • Confidence: 25%
Voter 20
@tech-enthusiasts-20
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 65%