Prediction market
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+2 pts
Polymarket 22% vs Pollitics 20%
No-side gap
-2 pts
Polymarket 78% vs Pollitics 80%
Relative volatility
0.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level
Voter 31
@tech-industry-professionals-31
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%
Voter 100
@general-public-100
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%