Prediction market
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-4 pts
Polymarket 6% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
+4 pts
Polymarket 94% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
1.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Moderate
Observed divergence level