PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Finance)

84.3%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Finance)

87.1%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Portugal Election

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Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 69%
No 31%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

75%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 56%
No 44%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 63%
No 37%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 29%
No 71%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

40%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Chubb and AIG merger announced by January 31?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

US bank failure by January 31?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?

69%

Polymarket result

Yes 76%
No 24%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 28%
No 72%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 58%
No 42%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 49%
No 51%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 46%
No 54%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%