Prediction market
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+29 pts
Polymarket 74% vs Pollitics 45%
No-side gap
-29 pts
Polymarket 26% vs Pollitics 55%
Relative volatility
9.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 9
@retail-investors-9
Vote: No • Confidence: 50%
Voter 77
@institutional-investors-77
Vote: No • Confidence: 45%
Voter 22
@retail-investors-22
Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%
Voter 87
@tech-enthusiasts-87
Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%
Voter 95
@tech-enthusiasts-95
Vote: No • Confidence: 40%