PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Completed Ended Jan 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Final poll result

Correct answer

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Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-10 pts

Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 10%

No-side gap

+10 pts

Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 90%

Relative volatility

3.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 73

@tech-enthusiasts-73

Jan 24, 2026

Ich habe dagegen gestimmt, weil Amazon trotz seiner Größe im Moment nur den fünften Platz belegt. Die Konkurrenz ist stark, und ich glaube nicht, dass sie bis Ende Januar 2026 einen großen Sprung machen können – es sei denn, sie liefern uns eine neue Technologie, die uns das Leben erleichtert oder die nächste große Gesundheitsinnovation bringt!

Vote: No • Confidence: 85%

Voter 67

@institutional-investors-67

Jan 24, 2026

With Amazon sitting at fifth place in market cap, it's hard to imagine them leapfrogging to second in such a short time. Even as a tech enthusiast, I think the competition is just too fierce, and my wallet says 'no' to that bet!

Vote: No • Confidence: 85%