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Prediction market

Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?

Open Ends Mar 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood’s recently acquired Designated Contract Market (DCM), MIAXdx, self-certifies at least one sports-related event-based contract with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC, Robinhood, or MIAXdx; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 58%
No 42%

Pollitics result

Yes 41%
No 59%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+17 pts

Polymarket 58% vs Pollitics 41%

No-side gap

-17 pts

Polymarket 42% vs Pollitics 59%

Relative volatility

5.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Synthetic panel profile

AI panel

Panel details calibrated on self-reported profiles and behaviors observed in election panels.

Virtual voter comments

Voter 27

@retail-investors-27

Jan 24, 2026

With Robinhood just finishing the MIAXdx acquisition, it feels like waiting for a sports team to make a play—lots of potential but no action yet. I’m skeptical they’ll self-certify a contract before the deadline, especially since there's been no buzz about it so far. Let's see if they can score!

Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%

Voter 82

@sports-enthusiasts-82

Jan 24, 2026

With Robinhood's recent acquisition of MIAXdx, the stage is set for some exciting sports betting contracts. I'm optimistic they'll self-certify one before the deadline—after all, who wouldn't want to cash in on their favorite team's big game?

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 40%

Voter 66

@sports-enthusiasts-66

Jan 24, 2026

With Robinhood now owning MIAXdx, the stage is set for some sports contract magic. Sure, there's no action yet, but I’m betting they’ll want to make a splash before 2026—because who doesn't love mixing sports and trading? Let's go for it!

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 30%

Voter 49

@retail-investors-49

Jan 24, 2026

With the recent acquisition of MIAXdx, it seems Robinhood has the tools to play in the sports betting arena, but until they actually throw a contract into the ring, I'm not holding my breath. Let's see if they can score before the deadline!

Vote: No opinion • Confidence: 10%