Prediction market
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+16 pts
Polymarket 50% vs Pollitics 34%
No-side gap
-16 pts
Polymarket 50% vs Pollitics 66%
Relative volatility
5.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Synthetic panel profile
AI panelPanel details calibrated on self-reported profiles and behaviors observed in election panels.
Assumptions