PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Completed Ended Jan 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Final poll result

Correct answer

—

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-8 pts

Polymarket 2% vs Pollitics 10%

No-side gap

+8 pts

Polymarket 98% vs Pollitics 90%

Relative volatility

2.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 73

@tech-enthusiasts-73

Jan 24, 2026

With Alphabet's AI advancements and Apple lagging behind, it feels like we're watching a tech race where the tortoise is suddenly sprinting. I doubt Apple will regain that second spot by the end of January, especially with the buzz around Google's latest innovations.

Vote: No • Confidence: 75%

Voter 74

@institutional-investors-74

Jan 24, 2026

Given the recent surge in Alphabet's AI capabilities and Apple's sluggish pace in that arena, it seems like a no-brainer to bet against Apple taking the second spot. As a finance professional, I follow market trends closely, and this shift in momentum is hard to ignore. Plus, who doesn't love rooting for the underdog, even if it's Alphabet?

Vote: No • Confidence: 75%