PolyPanel.ai

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Prediction market

Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Open Ends Dec 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+7 pts

Polymarket 18% vs Pollitics 11%

No-side gap

-7 pts

Polymarket 82% vs Pollitics 89%

Relative volatility

2.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Synthetic panel profile

AI panel

Panel details calibrated on self-reported profiles and behaviors observed in election panels.

Virtual voter comments

Voter 14

@investors-14

Jan 24, 2026

Given Carvana's recent financial triumphs and S&P inclusion, it feels like betting against a winning horse. My finance instincts say they're on the upswing, so I'm holding onto my 'No' vote—no need to jump ship just yet!

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%

Voter 22

@investors-22

Jan 24, 2026

With Carvana's impressive financial performance and S&P 500 inclusion, I don't see them throwing in the towel anytime soon. It seems like they're riding the wave rather than sinking into the depths of bankruptcy. Plus, as a finance guy, I prefer to bet on a comeback rather than a crash!

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%

Voter 64

@general-public-64

Jan 24, 2026

I'm betting on Carvana's comeback, not a bankruptcy drama. With record financials and an S&P 500 spot, it looks like they're steering clear of the cliff—unless they decide to take a wild detour into high-risk lending. But hey, I like my investments like my coffee: strong and not bitter!

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%

Voter 46

@investors-46

Jan 24, 2026

Given Carvana's rollercoaster ride so far, I can't shake the feeling that a surprise bankruptcy announcement could be lurking around the corner. Sure, they're doing well now, but high-risk lending is like walking a tightrope—one misstep and it’s showtime for the bankruptcy lawyers!

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 15%

Voter 36

@investors-36

Jan 24, 2026

Carvana está en una racha impresionante, con resultados récord y hasta se coló en el S&P 500. Con semejantes logros, me parece poco probable que anuncien quiebra antes de 2027. Además, como alguien del sector automotriz, creo que la recuperación es real, aunque siempre hay que mirar con precaución los riesgos de financiamiento.

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%