Prediction market
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Final poll result
Correct answer
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Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-10 pts
Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
+10 pts
Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
3.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level