Prediction market
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+2 pts
Polymarket 12% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
-2 pts
Polymarket 88% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
0.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level