Prediction market
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-21 pts
Polymarket 9% vs Pollitics 30%
No-side gap
+21 pts
Polymarket 91% vs Pollitics 70%
Relative volatility
7.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level