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Prediction market

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Open Ends Jun 30, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses will be, have been, or are being acquired by or merged with Paramount Global by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the merger or acquisition is ultimately completed. Any merger or acquisition will qualify regardless of whether it regards all of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses or only a subset of those businesses (including, for example, HBO / Max, Warner Bros. Pictures, Warner Bros. Television, or related streaming platforms and content libraries). The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Paramount Global and/or Warner Bros. Discovery; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-4 pts

Polymarket 16% vs Pollitics 20%

No-side gap

+4 pts

Polymarket 84% vs Pollitics 80%

Relative volatility

1.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Moderate

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 7

@media-professionals-7

Jan 24, 2026

Given the current landscape, Paramount's cash offer is like bringing a butter knife to a sword fight against Netflix's massive deal. With WBD's board favoring Netflix, it feels like a long shot for this merger to happen by 2026. As a media pro, I'm all for competition, but right now it seems Paramount's playing catch-up.

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%

Voter 40

@general-public-40

Jan 24, 2026

With Paramount's cash offer being rejected and Netflix's giant deal overshadowing it, I'm not holding my breath for this merger. At this point, it feels like Paramount is trying to win a game of musical chairs, but all the good seats are taken!

Vote: No • Confidence: 75%

Voter 4

@media-professionals-4

Jan 24, 2026

With Paramount's cash offer getting a lukewarm reception and Netflix holding the board's heart, I’m not holding my breath for an announcement anytime soon. It's like watching a bad rom-com—lots of drama but no happy ending in sight!

Vote: No • Confidence: 80%