polypanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Markets evaluated (Tech)

201

Pollitics score accuracy (Tech)

81.5%

Pollitics raw score accuracy (Tech)

82.5%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Tech)

86.1%

Categories

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Elections

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Ukraine

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Gaza

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Iran

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Middle East

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Global Elections

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Portugal Election

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Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

65%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

59%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 43%
No 57%

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

65%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 33%
No 67%

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

67%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 73%
No 27%

Pollitics result

Yes 79%
No 21%

Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

58%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 43%
No 57%

Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 98%
No 2%

Pollitics result

Yes 89%
No 11%

Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 46%
No 55%

Pollitics result

Yes 47%
No 53%

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 49%
No 51%

Pollitics result

Yes 27%
No 73%

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

65%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 67%
No 33%

Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 50%
No 50%

Pollitics result

Yes 41%
No 59%

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 61%
No 39%

Pollitics result

Yes 38%
No 62%

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 50%
No 50%

Pollitics result

Yes 37%
No 63%

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 46%
No 54%

Pollitics result

Yes 28%
No 72%

Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 27%
No 73%

Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

66%

Polymarket result

Yes 49%
No 51%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 33%
No 67%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Pollitics result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

44%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 63%
No 37%

Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 21%
No 79%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 68%
No 32%

Pollitics result

Yes 55%
No 45%

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 44%
No 56%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

79%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 83%
No 17%

Pollitics result

Yes 78%
No 22%

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

74%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 69%
No 31%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 19%
No 81%