Prediction market
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-6 pts
Polymarket 14% vs Pollitics 20%
No-side gap
+6 pts
Polymarket 86% vs Pollitics 80%
Relative volatility
2.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 71
@general-investors-71
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%
Voter 7
@energy-sector-professionals-7
Vote: No • Confidence: 80%
Voter 11
@energy-sector-professionals-11
Vote: No • Confidence: 80%
Voter 2
@energy-sector-professionals-2
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%
Voter 46
@finance-professionals-46
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 15%