PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Middle East)

90.6%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Middle East)

96.3%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

Categories

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

79%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 71%
No 29%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 51%
No 49%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 46%
No 55%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%