PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Geopolitics)

87.0%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Geopolitics)

89.7%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Politics

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Elections

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Ukraine

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Gaza

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Global Elections

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Portugal Election

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U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 73%
No 27%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 23%
No 77%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 29%
No 71%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 34%
No 66%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 34%
No 66%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

79%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?

11%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

13%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 28%
No 72%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?

55%

Polymarket result

Yes 80%
No 20%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 52%
No 48%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 58%
No 42%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 94%
No 6%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%