Prediction market
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+1 pts
Polymarket 6% vs Pollitics 5%
No-side gap
-1 pts
Polymarket 94% vs Pollitics 95%
Relative volatility
0.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level
Voter 54
@general-public-54
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%
Voter 59
@students-of-international-relations-59
Vote: No • Confidence: 75%