PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Tech)

81.6%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Tech)

85.2%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Portugal Election

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Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 58%
No 42%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 63%
No 37%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 54%
No 46%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 68%
No 32%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

69%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Pollitics result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

61%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

65%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

49%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 55%
No 45%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 68%
No 32%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

74%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

67%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

66%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 56%
No 44%

Pollitics result

Yes 67%
No 33%

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 47%
No 53%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

52%

Polymarket result

Yes 88%
No 12%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%