Prediction market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Rules: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-17 pts
Polymarket 3% vs Pollitics 20%
No-side gap
+17 pts
Polymarket 97% vs Pollitics 80%
Relative volatility
5.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level