Prediction market
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-25 pts
Polymarket 5% vs Pollitics 30%
No-side gap
+25 pts
Polymarket 95% vs Pollitics 70%
Relative volatility
8.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level