PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Tech)

81.6%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Tech)

85.2%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

Categories

Rippling IPO before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Brex IPO before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Anduril IPO before 2027?

66%

Polymarket result

Yes 31%
No 69%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Vanta IPO before 2027?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Celonis IPO before 2027?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 29%
No 71%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Ramp IPO before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

50%

Polymarket result

Yes 80%
No 20%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Stripe IPO before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Discord IPO before 2027?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 92%
No 8%

Pollitics result

Yes 79%
No 21%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

69%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

75%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 82%
No 18%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 29%
No 71%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

23%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

27%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?

16%

Polymarket result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?

38%

Polymarket result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?

31%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?

15%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?

53%

Polymarket result

Yes 28%
No 72%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?

41%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?

52%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 84%
No 16%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 84%
No 16%

Pollitics result

Yes 90%
No 10%

Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 100%
No 0%

Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?

48%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 44%
No 56%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

63%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

61%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%