Prediction market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-32 pts
Polymarket 3% vs Pollitics 35%
No-side gap
+32 pts
Polymarket 97% vs Pollitics 65%
Relative volatility
10.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 52
@institutional-investors-52
Vote: No • Confidence: 80%
Voter 6
@retail-investors-6
Vote: No • Confidence: 80%