Prediction market
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-34 pts
Polymarket 31% vs Pollitics 65%
No-side gap
+34 pts
Polymarket 69% vs Pollitics 35%
Relative volatility
11.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level
Voter 25
@retail-investors-25
Vote: No • Confidence: 30%
Voter 63
@institutional-investors-63
Vote: No • Confidence: 40%
Voter 92
@general-public-92
Vote: Yes • Confidence: 55%
Voter 3
@retail-investors-3
Vote: No • Confidence: 30%