Prediction market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-5 pts
Polymarket 5% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
+5 pts
Polymarket 95% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
1.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Moderate
Observed divergence level