Prediction market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-1 pts
Polymarket 6% vs Pollitics 7%
No-side gap
+1 pts
Polymarket 94% vs Pollitics 93%
Relative volatility
0.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level