PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Geopolitics)

87.0%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Geopolitics)

89.7%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Portugal Election

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Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?

29%

Polymarket result

Yes 91%
No 9%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 79%
No 21%

Pollitics result

Yes 55%
No 45%

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?

62%

Polymarket result

Yes 68%
No 32%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

50%

Polymarket result

Yes 80%
No 20%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

NATO article 5 before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 11%
No 89%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 34%
No 66%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 51%
No 49%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 34%
No 66%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

75%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 50%
No 50%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%