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Prediction market

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?

Open Ends Dec 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Overview Activity Comments

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+12 pts

Polymarket 32% vs Pollitics 20%

No-side gap

-12 pts

Polymarket 68% vs Pollitics 80%

Relative volatility

4.0×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level

Virtual voter comments

Voter 57

@casual-observers-57

Jan 24, 2026

I went with a 'Yes' on Trump visiting South Korea in 2026, mostly because I like to keep things optimistic. Besides, imagine the fanfare—it's like waiting for a sequel to a blockbuster! But with current priorities, I won't be holding my breath.

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 20%

Voter 90

@supporters-90

Jan 24, 2026

Given the lack of any buzz or official whispers about Trump visiting South Korea in 2026, it feels like betting on a unicorn sighting. Plus, with all the global chaos, I doubt he's prioritizing a trip to the land of kimchi anytime soon.

Vote: No • Confidence: 75%

Voter 84

@casual-observers-84

Jan 24, 2026

With no solid plans or whispers from Trump about a 2026 trip to South Korea, I'm leaning towards a 'no'. It seems like he's got bigger fish to fry, or maybe just enjoying a quiet life away from international travel. Besides, I like my predictions as safe bets!

Vote: No • Confidence: 75%

Voter 1

@political-enthusiasts-1

Jan 24, 2026

I voted yes, hoping that Trump surprises us all with a spontaneous trip to South Korea in 2026. Sure, the odds are slim and the official whispers are quiet, but wouldn’t it be something? Plus, who doesn’t love a good plot twist in politics?

Vote: Yes • Confidence: 15%