PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Trending)

93.0%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Trending)

97.8%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

75%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

87%

Polymarket result

Yes 98%
No 2%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Trump out as President before 2027?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

91%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%