Prediction market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Rules: This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Final poll result
Correct answer
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Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-1 pts
Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 1%
No-side gap
+1 pts
Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 99%
Relative volatility
0.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
High
Observed divergence level
Voter 21
@crypto-traders-21
Vote: No • Confidence: 95%
Voter 20
@crypto-traders-20
Vote: No • Confidence: 95%
Voter 95
@casual-observers-95
Vote: No • Confidence: 95%