PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Iran)

88.0%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Iran)

90.0%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Portugal Election

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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

62%

Polymarket result

Yes 52%
No 48%

Pollitics result

Yes 90%
No 10%

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 51%
No 49%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 36%
No 64%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%