PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Geopolitics)

87.0%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Geopolitics)

89.7%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Elections

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Global Elections

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Portugal Election

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U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 28%
No 72%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

61%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 38%
No 62%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 26%
No 74%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

78%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

63%

Polymarket result

Yes 53%
No 47%

Pollitics result

Yes 90%
No 10%

Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

53%

Polymarket result

Yes 52%
No 48%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2026?

38%

Polymarket result

Yes 92%
No 8%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?

43%

Polymarket result

Yes 77%
No 23%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?

35%

Polymarket result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 13%
No 87%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 94%
No 6%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?

30%

Polymarket result

Yes 90%
No 10%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

58%

Polymarket result

Yes 72%
No 28%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 94%
No 6%

Pollitics result

Yes 90%
No 10%

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 38%
No 62%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump deport 800-900k people?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump deport 700-800k people?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Trump deport 600-700k people?

86%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Trump deport 500-600k people?

61%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

74%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

47%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Will Trump deport 200-300k people?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Trump deport less than 200k people?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

92%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 17%
No 83%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 15%
No 85%

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 53%
No 47%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

74%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%