Prediction market
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-5 pts
Polymarket 5% vs Pollitics 10%
No-side gap
+5 pts
Polymarket 95% vs Pollitics 90%
Relative volatility
1.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Moderate
Observed divergence level