PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Tech)

81.6%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Tech)

85.2%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Portugal Election

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

62%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

52%

Polymarket result

Yes 88%
No 12%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?

42%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?

61%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?

49%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 55%
No 45%

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

73%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?

69%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

45%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 64%
No 36%

Pollitics result

Yes 35%
No 65%

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

89%

Polymarket result

Yes 19%
No 81%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%