PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Synthetic polling for Polymarket

See how synthetic voters would decide

PolyPanel simulates diverse voter panels to estimate likely outcomes for Polymarket markets. It's built on the pollitics.com methodology.

Pollitics score accuracy (Finance)

84.3%

Pollitics yes/no accuracy (Finance)

86.9%

This website is a snapshot (24/01/2025) meant to demonstrate Pollitics' ability to predict human positioning on Polymarket.

For this tool to be truly useful, all positions should be recomputed several times per day.

We are currently looking for partners to develop this product commercially. Learn more about the methodology on How it works.

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Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 82%
No 18%

Pollitics result

Yes 85%
No 15%

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 21%
No 79%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

17%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

37%

Polymarket result

Yes 32%
No 68%

Pollitics result

Yes 95%
No 5%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

82%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

60%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

42%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 70%
No 30%

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

81%

Polymarket result

Yes 84%
No 16%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 67%
No 33%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 67%
No 33%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

88%

Polymarket result

Yes 18%
No 82%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

85%

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 6%
No 94%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

80%

Polymarket result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

90%

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

83%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 68%
No 32%

Pollitics result

Yes 65%
No 35%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

70%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

93%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

76%

Polymarket result

Yes 99%
No 1%

Pollitics result

Yes 75%
No 25%

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 4%
No 96%

Pollitics result

Yes 5%
No 95%

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

98%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

94%

Polymarket result

Yes 16%
No 84%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

96%

Polymarket result

Yes 24%
No 76%

Pollitics result

Yes 20%
No 80%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

77%

Polymarket result

Yes 22%
No 78%

Pollitics result

Yes 45%
No 55%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

52%

Polymarket result

Yes 12%
No 88%

Pollitics result

Yes 60%
No 40%

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

95%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 3%
No 97%

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

52%

Polymarket result

Yes 88%
No 12%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

72%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

62%

Polymarket result

Yes 2%
No 98%

Pollitics result

Yes 40%
No 60%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

97%

Polymarket result

Yes 7%
No 93%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

71%

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

84%

Polymarket result

Yes 14%
No 86%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

100%

Polymarket result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%

Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

99%

Polymarket result

Yes 9%
No 91%

Pollitics result

Yes 8%
No 92%