PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Open Ends Nov 07, 2028
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 46%
No 54%

Pollitics result

Yes 48%
No 52%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-2 pts

Polymarket 46% vs Pollitics 48%

No-side gap

+2 pts

Polymarket 54% vs Pollitics 52%

Relative volatility

0.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

High

Observed divergence level