Prediction market
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Rules: Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary in April or May 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-7 pts
Polymarket 53% vs Pollitics 60%
No-side gap
+7 pts
Polymarket 47% vs Pollitics 40%
Relative volatility
2.3×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level