PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Open Ends Dec 31, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Pollitics result

Yes 25%
No 75%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+5 pts

Polymarket 30% vs Pollitics 25%

No-side gap

-5 pts

Polymarket 70% vs Pollitics 75%

Relative volatility

1.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Moderate

Observed divergence level