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Prediction market

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Open Ends Jun 30, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Pollitics result

Yes 30%
No 70%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-20 pts

Polymarket 10% vs Pollitics 30%

No-side gap

+20 pts

Polymarket 90% vs Pollitics 70%

Relative volatility

6.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level