Prediction market
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-18 pts
Polymarket 12% vs Pollitics 30%
No-side gap
+18 pts
Polymarket 88% vs Pollitics 70%
Relative volatility
6.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level