PolyPanel.ai

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Prediction market

Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Completed Ended Mar 08, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate. If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Pollitics result

Yes 10%
No 90%

Final poll result

Correct answer

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

-10 pts

Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 10%

No-side gap

+10 pts

Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 90%

Relative volatility

3.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level