PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Open Ends Nov 03, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 1%
No 99%

Pollitics result

Yes 0%
No 100%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+1 pts

Polymarket 1% vs Pollitics 0%

No-side gap

-1 pts

Polymarket 99% vs Pollitics 100%

Relative volatility

0.3×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

High

Observed divergence level