Prediction market
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-26 pts
Polymarket 14% vs Pollitics 40%
No-side gap
+26 pts
Polymarket 86% vs Pollitics 60%
Relative volatility
8.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level