Prediction market
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Rules: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
+9 pts
Polymarket 84% vs Pollitics 75%
No-side gap
-9 pts
Polymarket 16% vs Pollitics 25%
Relative volatility
3.0×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Low
Observed divergence level