PolyPanel.ai

AI that predicts people

Prediction market

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Open Ends Jun 02, 2026
View this bet on Polymarket

Rules: The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Prediction comparison

Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.

Market

Polymarket result

Yes 66%
No 34%

Pollitics result

Yes 55%
No 45%

Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps

Live comparison

Snapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.

Yes-side gap

+11 pts

Polymarket 66% vs Pollitics 55%

No-side gap

-11 pts

Polymarket 34% vs Pollitics 45%

Relative volatility

3.7×

Average gap across sources

Confidence signal

Low

Observed divergence level