Prediction market
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Rules: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Prediction comparison
Compare Pollitics predictions with Polymarket prices.
Polymarket result
Pollitics result
0%
Polymarket vs Pollitics gaps
Live comparisonSnapshot of how Polymarket positioning differs from Pollitics voting, highlighting the largest gaps.
Yes-side gap
-5 pts
Polymarket 0% vs Pollitics 5%
No-side gap
+5 pts
Polymarket 100% vs Pollitics 95%
Relative volatility
1.7×
Average gap across sources
Confidence signal
Moderate
Observed divergence level